ECONOMIC INDICATORS: TRACKING THE SLUMP IN INDUSTRIAL ACTIVITY

ECONOMIC INDICATORS: TRACKING THE SLUMP IN INDUSTRIAL ACTIVITY

India’s industrial activity, measured by the Index of Industrial Production (IIP), slowed to a 14-month low of 0.4% in October 2025.This is a sharp decline from previous trends; the last recorded low was 0% in August 2024.

Sectoral Performance Analysis (October 2025)

SectorPerformanceReasoning/Observation
ElectricityContracted (-6.9%)Sharp decline compared to 2% growth last year. Likely due to heavy rains reducing agricultural/cooling demand.
MiningContracted (-1.8%)Has contracted in 6 out of the last 7 months, indicating structural sluggishness.
ManufacturingGrowth (+1.8%)Slowed to a near two-year low. Fewer working days due to festivals (Dussehra/Diwali) impacted output.
Consumer GoodsContractedNon-durables (-4.4%) and Durables (-0.5%) both shrank, signalling weak demand or high inventory pile-up.

 

What is the IIP?

  • Definition: The Index of Industrial Production (IIP) is a key economic indicator that measures the short-term changes in the volume of production of a basket of industrial products.
  • Significance: It serves as a barometer for the health of the industrial sector and provides insights into growth or contraction over a specific period.
  • Nodal Agency: Published monthly by the Central Statistics Office (CSO) (now National Statistical Office – NSO), under the Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
  • Base Year: 2011–12.

Composition: How is IIP Calculated?

The IIP is a weighted average of three broad sectors.

  • Manufacturing: 77.63% (Highest Weight; 809 items).
  • Mining: 14.37% (29 items).
  • Electricity: 7.99% (Lowest Weight; 1 item).

4. The “Core” Component: Eight Core Industries

  • Weightage: The Eight Core Industries comprise 40.27% of the total weight of the IIP.
  • Significance: These are fundamental industries that have a multiplier effect on the economy.

Decreasing Order of Weightage

  1. Refinery Products (Highest)
  2. Electricity
  3. Steel
  4. Coal
  5. Crude Oil
  6. Natural Gas
  7. Cement
  8. Fertilisers (Lowest)